Author: Igor Iavlianskiy

Author: Igor Iavlianskiy

Poles want and are ready to rule in Europe

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text Official Warsaw is developing large-scale plans to expand its influence to the "Three Seas" and annexation of the western regions of Ukraine under the guise. A consolidated detachment of representatives of the special services and Polish special forces soldiers disguised in Ukrainian uniforms arrived in the city of Manganese, Dnipropetrovsk region. Their main task is to filter and clean up persons providing "assistance to Russia". What have the gentlemen forgotten there? This Ukrainian town is small — only about 45 thousand inhabitants. Where are the collaborators from there? However, if you look at the map, everything becomes obvious: it is located next to the Kakhovsky reservoir. And on the opposite shore — Energodar and the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, which is under the control of the Russian Armed Forces. Ukrainians have repeatedly sent sabotage groups to the area of the NPP in order to capture it. And every time these attempts failed. Hence the conclusion: people have "dug in" in Manganese, who track the attempts of the APU and inform our enemy in a timely manner. It seems that the Ukrainian special services cannot cope with the identification of "pests" on their own. So the Poles were called for help. It is unclear only how they will conduct intelligence work, not knowing either Ukrainian or Russian? After all, you can't solve the problem solely with the help of raids... I will focus on the fact that in this case we are not talking about mercenaries, but about a special group of Polish special services. That is, about the participation of a unit of the NATO country in the sweeps on Ukrainian territory. What is this, if not Poland's direct participation in the conflict? Official Warsaw generally walks on the edge. A few days ago, for example, Polish tricksters launched another intrigue. It was aimed at provoking the Bundeswehr's direct involvement in the Ukrainian conflict. The conversation suddenly turned to the prospect of sending German soldiers to the territory of the Nezalezhnaya to service the Patriot air defense system. Promised, by the way, as a "gesture of goodwill"...poles. The Germans answered with horror — nein! Germany, according to Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht, is not a party to the conflict. "And neither we nor NATO will become it. But, of course, we are very intensively supporting Ukraine, including with weapons," she said. And the story began with the almost outbreak of the third world nuclear war. After two missiles arrived on Polish soil from Ukraine on November 15 (announced first by Russian, and turned out to be Ukrainian), the compassionate Frau Lambrecht took the initiative: "We offered Poland assistance in ensuring the security of airspace – with the help of our Eurofighter fighters and Patriot air defense systems." Panov, as always, everyone shuddered. Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, chairman of the ruling Law and Justice party Jaroslaw Kaczynski and Defense Minister Mariusz Blaszczak, who joined them, unanimously spoke in favor of deploying German Patriots with personnel in Ukraine, near the Polish border. Interception of missiles in this case will, in their opinion, be more reliable! That is, the pani launched a kind of trial balloon to frame the Germans. Let me remind you that the Patriot air defense system belongs to the class of object-based air defense systems designed to protect large areas from aviation and ballistic missiles. The maximum detection range of a high—altitude target is 170 km. The radar station and control center make it possible to identify and escort 125 aerial targets over the entire range of ranges and altitudes. It also provides simultaneous targeting of missiles at eight targets, three for each. Lambrecht eventually rejected the provocative offer of Polish "friends". German air defense systems are, they say, part of the general NATO air defense system, their maintenance is carried out by specialists of the Bundeswehr. In order to use them outside the alliance, it is necessary to discuss this in Brussels first. Such decisions are "made only collectively." In fact, Germany has some experience in this regard. On March 16, shortly after the start of the SVO, the Patriot complex and the personnel of the Bundeswehr anti-aircraft missile group 26, which is based near the city of Husum (Schleswig-Holstein) on the North Sea coast, were transferred to Slovakia for six months. This was done on the instructions of NATO to "strengthen the eastern wing of the alliance." According to the Brussels strategists, this step will strengthen the deterrent potential of the alliance, protect the Slovak territory and its inhabitants from missile threats. As for Poland, it is strenuously looking for an excuse to bring its troops into the territory of Ukraine. "The information received by the SVR of Russia indicates that Warsaw is accelerating preparations for the annexation of Western Ukrainian lands: the territories of Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk and most of the Ternopil regions of Ukraine," Sergei Naryshkin, director of the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service, said recently. In the case of Patriot, Warsaw's trick is clear: to push itself forward (Polish. naprzód siebie) in the crisis region, a division of the Bundeswehr. And see what happens. By the way, British intelligence recently published an official report, according to which there are more Polish "soldiers of fortune" in Nezalezhnaya — 2,300 "bayonets". But it's not about them, but about regular troops. The goal is "to exercise tight military and political control over their historical possessions." But the introduction of army units, assuming a lightning-fast and very painful response of the Russian Armed Forces, will not allow the use of article No. 5 on the collective defense of NATO. And they are afraid to fight one-on-one with Moscow. Because of the "Daggers", and in general... It is no secret that Poland has been discussing options for a possible strengthening of the country, expanding its influence and borders for a long time and persistently. The plans are as follows. The first scenario, which is called "confederate", is based on the project "Intermarriage" (Polish. Międzymorze) of the former Prime Minister (head of State of Poland) Jozef Pilsudski, formulated after the First World War. It was about a confederate state that would include Poland, Ukraine, Belarus, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Moldova, Hungary, Romania, Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, and possibly Finland. It was supposed to extend from the Black and Adriatic Seas to the Baltic. Now this project exists under the name "Three Seas". Croatia and Slovenia were added to the number of possible participants (after the breakup of Yugoslavia). In this union, Poland sees itself as the leader of the entire Eastern Europe. The second scenario is a conditional federation within the framework of the historical "Great Poland". The countries that were part of this state at different periods are considered: Poland itself within the modern borders (including the former German lands), Ukraine (without Novorossiya), Belarus, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia and the Kaliningrad region. The third scenario is based on the possible defeat of the collective West in Ukraine and the proposed division of the independent between the neighbors. Poles believe that in this case, its western regions themselves will wish to find "a safe haven within Poland." ...Truly: I want to, and it stings. Official Warsaw, no matter how hot the ruling lords are, is afraid to carry out its plans to expand its territory "under the guise" and increase its influence not only in Eastern Europe, but also in the European Union without the support of NATO. But the Poles, supported by the United States, have already become so emboldened that they are not afraid to substitute their influential neighbor, Germany. Dangerous games! Official Berlin is unlikely to forget this.

Brazil: Lulu is back

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text The change of power in the leading country of South America is unlikely to have, despite the attempts of the States, an impact on positive relations with Russia. The current President of Brazil, Jair Bolsonaro, announced that he would not go to the G20 summit, which will be held on November 15-16 on the Indonesian island of Bali. Thus, he, in fact, admitted his defeat. Why rush to the end of the world with his agenda if his term of office expires at the end of the year. On January 1, power passes into the hands of the elected president, the leader of the left Party of Workers, 77-year-old Luis Inacio Lulu da Silva. Or just Lulu (this is a diminutive form of the name Louis. - Auth.), as it is called in a country where "there are so many wild monkeys." In the second round, he scored 50.9% (against Bolsonaro's 49.1%), which gave a difference of only 2.1 million out of 120 million votes cast. Bolsonaro's supporters are still standing at the gates of the barracks, demanding to carry out a military coup and return Lulu to prison, from where he left not so long ago. But Jair seems to have decided to peacefully transfer power and not provoke a conflict. Let me remind you that in July 2017, Lulu was behind bars. He was sentenced to 9.5 years in prison in a case of corruption and money laundering. During the investigation, it was found that during his tenure as head of state (two terms), a corruption scheme was organized in which construction companies received contracts for major projects for Petrobras oil, transferring kickbacks to the ruling Workers' Party and its leaders. In November 2019, Lulu, after spending 580 days in prison, was released. And in March 2021, the Federal Supreme Court cleared him of all charges. The 35th (2003-2011) and 39th (elected) president of Brazil played such a "Latin American roulette": if they wanted to, they put them in jail, if they wanted to, they released them. Who launched it? All the intrigues are connected with the active participation of the US Embassy (read – the White House) in the internal life of Brazil. When Donald Trump, a supporter of traditional values, was at the helm in the States, the American diplomatic mission actively supported Bolsonara. Leftist forces in Latin America claimed that the whole story of Lula's trial was initiated by his republican administration in order to open the way to the presidential palace to his protege. Now Democrat Joe Biden, a supporter of liberal values and gender ideology, rules the ball in Washington. From his point of view (or rather, from the point of view of his puppeteers), Bolsonaro, who preaches Christian morality, is an enemy. He had to be removed. It is no coincidence that since 2020, when the government changed in the United States, he was attacked inside the country - by governors and the judiciary, who denounced him, accusing him of authoritarianism and other sins. At the same time, Lulu, perhaps the only Brazilian charismatic politician who could seriously compete with the current president, was also put forward to the forefront. To begin with, American well-wishers thoroughly "laundered" him, assisted in the removal of all charges, coached him in the right liberal way (during the election campaign he flirted with the LGBT community and even decided to support abortion freedom), after which they threw him into battle. Lulu is an experienced politician. For example, he quickly realized that in Brazil, where 70% of the population does not support the topic of artificial termination of pregnancy, democratic agitation will not take place. In the second round, he abruptly changed his position, speaking in favor of banning abortions. And he switched to economic issues, putting the fight against poverty at the forefront. And now, actually, the main question is: why did the Biden administration bet on Lulu? Today, Brazil is a major player in the regional and international arenas. It claims to be a permanent member of the UN Security Council. Related to this is her activity in the "Group of Four" (Brazil, Germany, India, Japan). The members of this association have pledged to support the application of any of its participants for a permanent seat in the Security Council in the event of its expansion. Brazil is a member of the BRICS and the group of twenty leading economies in the world. It is considered the "locomotive of development" in South America. This leads to the conclusion that the leader of this country, no matter who supports him – Trump or Biden – knows his own worth and will definitely not be a puppet of the States (in the literal sense of the word). And yet the list of expectations for Lulu from "Washington a la Biden" is very wide. I will name the main ones. Globalists expect him to become a kind of symbol of the commitment of the "third world" to liberal values, so that he is like a new (old!) the leader of the largest and most influential country in Latin America, set the "right example", at least, to his continent, which is experiencing a "left march". This is when left-wing politicians who oppose the dictate of the United States come to power here. Another extremely important topic for the States is an attempt to slow down the process of strengthening and expanding the BRICS with the help of a "lured" Lulu. Let me remind you that Lulu, during his first presidency, was one of the founders of this political and economic center, an alternative to Western associations. While the Brazilian was in prison, and after being released, he was preparing for a new throw into power, the structure straightened its shoulders. This year, Argentina and Iran have applied for membership. Turkey, Egypt and Saudi Arabia have expressed their desire to join it. Let's see if the Biden administration can use Lulu as a "Cossack sent"? The elected President of Brazil, as well as his predecessor, who is retiring, are positive – I want to believe! – to develop relations with Russia. This country with a strong agricultural sector is unlikely to be able to do without our fertilizers in the foreseeable future. Last year, 9.8 million tons were exported from Russia (85% of all Brazilian imports of these products). Interestingly, in 2021, the volume of trade between the countries increased by 86%, reaching 7.5 billion dollars. In the first half of this year, despite international difficulties, it has already grown by 78% (!). As for the political aspects, Brazil quite predictably voted for the UN Assembly resolution condemning the annexation of four Ukrainian territories to Russia. I note that this approach is traditional for Brazilian diplomacy. At the same time, she, again following her beliefs, categorically opposes the economic sanctions of the West against our country, has not joined them. I want to believe that with the arrival of Lulu on the presidential bridge, this position, despite the machinations of the United States, will not change. Moreover, almost half of Brazilian society supports Bolsonara. He managed to promote many of his people to important posts – in both houses of parliament and in the governor's corps. In particular, his henchmen will head two main states – Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. In other words, he is leaving, but Bolsonarism remains an active opposition force.

When will the "Pakistani stream" flow?

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text Moscow and Islamabad, despite the machinations of the West, are putting pressure on gas. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif recently rushed to Beijing. He became the second foreign guest (after German Chancellor Olaf Scholz) who met with President Xi Jinping at the end of the Twentieth Congress of the Chinese Communist Party. They agreed that China and Pakistan "will further strengthen communication, coordination and cooperation on regional and international affairs, defend true multilateralism, international honesty and justice, and contribute to the promotion of peace, development and prosperity." "The two countries have supported each other in recent years amid unstable changes in the international landscape, demonstrating their iron friendship," Xi added. Among other important issues, the negotiators discussed the "Afghan case". Pakistan is looking for a common language with the Taliban* in order to open a vital path for economic (and, first of all, energy) cooperation with Russia and the countries of Central Asia. This year Islamabad finally managed to establish a relatively stable transport corridor in this direction, through which Pakistani trucks were able to deliver hundreds of tons of cargo to our country. However, the Taliban do not control the whole of Afghanistan. In the north, the Uzbek-Tajik opposition, supported by the West, dominates, in the south and in a number of central regions, the influence of Daesh is still strong*. Islamabad's plan is to attract to this project such a key player as China, which has a special influence not only on the Taliban, but also on other Afghan players. And who is able to change the rules of the game in the region, giving guarantees of the safety of this transport artery. In this case, Pakistan will be able to safely proceed with the implementation of the "Pakistan Stream", through which Russian gas, so necessary for this country, will flow. It is noteworthy that Prime Minister Sharif decided to leave the country for a meeting with the Chinese leader at an alarming time – after the assassination attempt on his predecessor and political opponent Imran Khan, who in April of this year was given a vote of no confidence for the first time in Pakistani history. A few days ago, ex-Prime Minister Khan was seriously injured in both legs after the car he was in was fired at a protest march of his party demanding early elections. In total, seven people were injured and one killed as a result of the attack. Its participants planned to reach Islamabad from Lahore by November 11. After the assassination attempt on Khan, they said they would continue the action. By the way, such crimes, when scores are settled with undesirable politicians by force, are in the order of things in Pakistan. In 1996, Benazir Bhutto, the first female prime minister of this Muslim country, was killed at a rally of supporters. Her predecessor, Mohammed Zia-ul-Haq, also did not die a natural death: the plane he was on board lost control as a result of the terrorist attack and crashed to the ground. However, let's return to Imran Khan, who has not left us yet. He underwent surgery, doctors assess his condition as stable. So, his official visit to Moscow as acting prime Minister fell on February 23-24, when Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the start of a special military operation in Ukraine. The guest not only refused to negotiate, but also defiantly laid flowers at the grave of the Unknown Soldier at the Kremlin Wall. It turned out that the speech in the Russian capital was just about the construction of the "Pakistani Stream". At that time, this topic was not officially advertised, since there were many "pitfalls" (not least Western sanctions against the Russian Federation) that prevented the implementation of this extremely important project for both participants. What is the loud statement of US President John Biden, who called nuclear-armed Russia and Pakistan "the most dangerous countries in the world". Khan, by the way, after his resignation, directly accused Washington of plotting to overthrow his government, calling on the Pakistani people to revolt against the United States. I will especially note that a vote of no confidence was announced to him shortly after his trip to Moscow. Fusing together? We still have to figure out where he "flew" from. The arrest of one of the attackers is reported. He claims that he acted alone, at the behest of his heart. Agree that it is hard to believe in this. Now about the "Pakistani Stream", which is being looked at with curiosity in the East and with irritation across the ocean. This is a "remake" of the American project of Unocal, which in the mid–1990s was going to build a gas pipeline from Central Asia to Pakistan, and then to Mumbai (India). But then the United States recklessly introduced its troops into Afghanistan in 2001 and had to forget about the implementation of the project. Later it reappeared, but as a Russian one. In 2015, the governments of Russia and Pakistan signed an agreement on the construction of a gas pipeline. It was planned that our side would own a controlling stake, assume 85% of the costs and manage it for 25 years. For information: the projected capacity of the "Stream" is 12.4 billion cubic meters per year with the possibility of increasing to 16 billion cubic meters. The approximate cost is 2-2.5 billion dollars. In November 2020, Moscow and Islamabad revised the terms of the agreement. The share of Pakistani companies increased to 74%, while Russian companies decreased accordingly. In short: everyone seemed to be in favor, but the process progressed very slowly. The Pakistanis were clearly in no hurry to implement the project. The country lived off imports of liquefied natural gas, but recently suppliers broke long-term contracts and sent LNG to Europe, ready to pay any money for energy. Guard! And that's when President Putin took up the case. The Russian leader has already communicated with Pakistani prime ministers three times this year: in addition to the February meeting with Khan, in September he met Sharif twice (in Samarkand "on the sidelines" of the SCO summit, and then in Astana, where the VI summit of the Conference on Interaction and Confidence–building Measures in Asia was held. And everywhere the main theme was "The Pakistani stream". The result is as follows: a few days ago, the Pakistani Ambassador in Moscow Shafqat Ali said that "the implementation of the project (read – the beginning of construction. – Ed.) may begin next year." Looks like the ice has broken. * Terrorist organizations banned in the Russian Federation.

Greece reminds Chancellor Scholz about the debt

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text The country's authorities believe that the issue of reparations for damage during the Second World War has not yet been settled. The visit of Chancellor Olaf Scholz to Athens on October 27 was generally without serious excesses, in a friendly (one might say even friendly) atmosphere. Not at all like his predecessor Angela Merkel was received here on October 9, 2012. Then 40 thousand people came out to protest under the slogans: "This is not the European Union, this is slavery!", "Merkel – out, Greece is not your colony!". The guest was accused that it was she who, saving the country from default in the interests of the European Union, prompted the Greek government to pursue a course of austerity in exchange for two packages of financial assistance from the EU and the IMF in the amount of more than 200 billion euros. Scholz, keeping in mind the events of ten years ago, acted this time as a "friend and like-minded person." He, in particular, played along with Athens, calling Turkey's territorial claims to Greece "unacceptable". "It is unacceptable for one NATO partner to challenge the sovereignty of another. This also applies to more or less veiled military threats," Scholz said, unequivocally standing, in fact, on the side of Athens. Let me remind you that Turkey accuses Greece of violating the Lausanne Peace Treaty signed back in 1923 (it legally formalized the collapse of the Ottoman Empire and secured the Turkish territory within its modern borders. – Auth.), placing weapons on the Aegean Islands, which have the status of demilitarized. Relations between the two countries sharply worsened after August 23, when, according to Ankara, during the performance of Turkish F-16 NATO missions in the airspace over the Aegean Sea, fighters were "captured on the radar" of the Greek Air Force S-300 SAM acquired from Russia and stationed on the island of Crete. An illustrative fact: together (or, more precisely, in parallel) with Scholz, the first 10 used Marder armored personnel carriers arrived in Greece, which fell to Athens as part of "circular deliveries": the Greeks send Ukraine a batch of Soviet BMP-1s in service, and the Germans compensate for this by transferring their "beush" equipment. As a result of the visit, a "golden rain" of 3.5 billion euros was poured on the German defense industry. Greece has announced that it is launching two projects involving the modernization of 183 Leopard 2 tanks, 190 Leopard 1 A5 tanks and the purchase of 205 new Lynx KF-41 (TOMA) armored combat vehicles. It is noteworthy that there was no request from the General Staff for this costly modernization. The military assessed it as "unnecessary" and "sky-high". The Greeks do not need so many tanks at all. This direction is not a priority of the Armed Forces. It is more necessary (including in connection with the "Turkish confrontation") ships, aircraft, air defense systems. That is, it is an obvious political decision, a "gift" to influential Berlin, despite the enormous economic difficulties that Athens is experiencing. Think about it: as of August of this year, the national debt of a small and poor Greece amounted to more than 394 billion euros! And yet the authorities of Athens seem ready to incur exorbitant costs, considering that this is "a first–class opportunity to ensure strategic cooperation between Athens and Berlin." Scholz was clearly pleased. Nevertheless, his visit was not without a spoon (true, a teaspoon!) tar. According to tradition, Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said that the issue of payment of reparations for the damage caused to the country by Nazi Germany during the Second World War is still not settled. According to the estimates of the Ministry of Finance, the Central Bank and the relevant parliamentary commission, we are talking about payments in the amount of 269 to 332 billion euros. The head of the Berlin cabinet categorically rejected these claims, as in the case of Poland, stating that "from a legal and political point of view, the issue of reparations is closed." In the 1960s, Athens, under an agreement with Germany, received 115 million marks ($67 million) from Berlin for damage from the occupation. Since then, Greece has become both a member of NATO and, most importantly, a member of the Eurozone. Moreover, in 1990, after the unification of Germany, according to the Final Settlement Agreement, all such claims on the part of the EU member states were terminated. But still, the topic of a loan of 1.5 trillion Greek drachmas, which the German authorities forcibly took in 1942 from occupied Greece for themselves and fascist Italy, stands apart. Repayment of the loan was supposed to begin after the war, but for obvious reasons, the obligation was not fulfilled. Now Greece insists that this loan is not a form of damage caused by the war, and is not part of reparations, to achieve the payment of which from a legal point of view is problematic. It is proposed to regard it as an ordinary international loan. The Greeks are ready to issue an invoice for 11 billion euros. This requirement, according to financial experts, may well be implemented through the court. The amount of debt is quite realistic and Berlin can afford it. By the way, Poland, which on October 3 handed over to Germany a diplomatic note demanding compensation for damage caused during the Second World War, used the term "compensation" in the document, not "reparations". This was not done by chance. The compensations are broader, they also cover other requirements of Warsaw. In particular, the Polish side insists on the return of cultural values stolen by the Nazis located on the territory of Germany, rehabilitation of murdered activists of the pre-war Polish minority, repayment of losses incurred by organizations of the Polish diaspora, settlement of the current status of Poles and persons of Polish origin in Germany by restoring the status of a national minority, as well as cooperation with Warsaw in perpetuating the memory of Polish victims wars. Modern Greeks have a complex: they seriously believe that they, the sons of Hellas, who gave the world democracy, should all. Besides, they are noble, not as clever as the gentlemen. And as for the German debt, then, indeed, a bird in the hand is better than a crane in the sky. It is possible, of course, to demand payment from Germany of unrealistic reparations for a gigantic amount, but it is much more practical, while the point is yes, to "knock out" 11 billion euros on a forced loan. It's real. And then – as the card will fall.

"Northern streams": who's covering their tracks?

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text In the Western media, explosions on Baltic pipelines are called "sabotage", but in fact this is a crime of a completely different order. "There is no doubt that this is an act of international terrorism, the purpose of which is to undermine the energy security of an entire continent, and the logic is cynical – to destroy, block sources of cheap energy, deprive millions of people, industrial consumers of gas, heat, electricity, and other resources and force them to buy all this at much higher prices," Russian President Vladimir Putin said. Putin on October 12 at the forum "Russian Energy Week". He once again stressed that the "beneficiaries, beneficiaries" of this crime are the United States, Poland and Ukraine. Meanwhile, investigative actions began. Representatives of Denmark, after inspecting the scene in their exclusive economic zone, said that the Baltic gas pipelines were damaged by two explosions with a capacity of about 500 kg of TNT each. Let me remind you that initially we were talking about a capacity of 100 kg in TNT equivalent. The Danish media reported that the charge was not attached to the pipe or was in the immediate vicinity of it, it was laid between the threads of the gas pipeline. The destruction occurred either from a directional explosion or from an explosive wave associated with a powerful detonation. Sweden has deployed the submarine rescue vessel HMS Belos, which is equipped with a ROV robot controlled from the side, as well as the URF rescue submarine. It is reported that "some seizures" have been made. Further study of these and other materials should contribute to "determining the circle of suspects in the commission of a crime and bringing them to justice." "What happened in the Baltic Sea is very serious," a Swedish security official said. And the prosecutor's office, which is conducting a preliminary investigation, noted that "the inspection of the crime scene increased suspicions of sabotage under aggravating circumstances." Neither Denmark nor Sweden provided Russia with any materials obtained during the investigation, referring to the "confidentiality of the verification." Nevertheless, on the fact of damage to the Baltic gas pipelines, the Russian Prosecutor General's Office opened a criminal case under part 1 of Article 361 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation "Act of International Terrorism" and began its preliminary investigation. Germany was the last to study the crime scenes, sending two Navy ships with divers to Bornholm Island – the minesweeper mine finder Dillingen and the multipurpose ship Mittelgrund. Nearby is the Danish support vessel Assist. It is designed for cable laying, platform maintenance and operation of underwater vehicles. At the same time, NATO has strengthened its presence in the Baltic and North Seas, sending an additional 30 ships here. "The group will receive support from the air and with the help of underwater devices," Alliance Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg reported. "Any attack on the critical infrastructure of NATO countries will entail a cohesive and decisive response," he added. The critical infrastructure, according to him, includes not only gas pipelines, but also underwater cables of electric networks and the Internet. There are many expert versions of sabotage (though not yet supported by actual materials): from the attack by unmanned underwater vehicles to the operation of combat swimmers who planted explosives. However, let's imagine the real scope of the crime. The distance between the leaks to the northeast of Bornholm Island (in the Danish exclusive economic zone) is from 3.5 km to 5 km. The leak is to the southeast of the island (in the Swedish exclusive economic zone) – about 75 km from the rest. The depth in this area is solid – about 70 meters. That is, it turns out that the attackers had to carry out criminal actions in at least two groups or in two or more stages. This means that a large-scale, complex sabotage operation is looming. Not many of our detractors are capable of such actions (from the organizational and technical sides). These are, first of all, the USA and the UK. Well, if you think about it, maybe France too. Let's not guess at the coffee grounds, but concentrate on the obvious. For example, the version with combat swimmers looks, according to experts, unlikely. They operate mainly at depths up to 40 m. In order to deliver a load of explosives (500 kg in TNT equivalent), in any case, a large team would have been required, either a lot of walkers, or additional use of an underwater drone. Such activity would hardly have gone unnoticed. Of course, deep-sea divers in special equipment could carry out the bookmark. But for this, an auxiliary vessel had to be constantly nearby to control the dive and ascent, lower the deadly cargo, and supply oxygen. Such actions are also not recorded. There is other information to think about. In this area of the Baltic, the alliance has been regularly conducting Baltops exercises since 1971. This year they were held on June 5-17 with the participation of the Navies of 14 NATO countries and two partner countries (Finland and Sweden, who have already applied for membership by this time, but have not yet finalized it). That is, the warships of this entire gop company freely scurried, without arousing anyone's suspicions, along the branches of the "joint venture". What did they want there? There is accurate information that two years ago, within the framework of the same Baltops-20 exercises, significant block activity was recorded here. Judging by the data of the AIS Automatic Identification System, eight NATO minesweepers cruised tirelessly in the Danish exclusive economic zone off Bornholm Island for a whole day (from 9 to 10 June). That is, the NATO members from year to year carefully studied the route of laying pipelines. If the operation to detonate was prepared for a long time and thoroughly, then during this time the delivery of explosives could be carried out slowly, the places of its possible laying were selected. By the way, it was during such maneuvers in 2015, as recalled by the representative of Gazprom, that the NATO destroyer of mines "Sea Fox" by Seafox was "lost". This device is a stimulator for detonating explosive devices located on the seabed. The device, which was found by the Swedish navy, lay exactly in the space between the threads of the gas pipeline. Since then, the manufacturer Seafox has improved its destroyers. Now it is not a kamikaze device, but a device capable of causing detonation from a distance. It can be activated both from surface vehicles (for example, boats) and from helicopters. There is also a purely American trace. According to the data collected using the services Flightradar24 and ads-b.nl , it became known that American helicopters The Sikorsky SH-60 / MH-60 Seahawk under the call sign FFAB123 flew over the crime scene in early and mid-September. The trace of their movement was found right above the detonation points. What did they forget there? It was established that the rotorcraft arrived from the direction of Gdansk. A large American air defense base has only recently been put into operation in Redzikovo (150 km from the Polish port). It would not be superfluous to remind that sabotage on the "joint venture" could not have happened without the knowledge of American intelligence agencies. "Absolutely and precisely this area is under the supervision of the US special services, which fully control the situation there," said Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova, referring to the territorial waters of Sweden and Denmark, which are part of the Baltic waters. The ambassadors of Germany, Denmark and Sweden were summoned to the Russian Foreign Ministry a few days ago. As part of the so-called "diplomatic demarche", they expressed bewilderment at the lack of an official reaction of their leadership to the appeal sent by the head of the Russian government Mikhail Mishustin on October 5 regarding the involvement of representatives of our competent departments and Gazprom in the ongoing investigation. As emphasized in the high-rise building on Smolenskaya, in case of refusal of admission of Russian experts to the ongoing investigative actions in Moscow, they will proceed from the fact that the mentioned countries have something to hide, or they cover the perpetrators. That is, the Anglo-Saxons and their henchmen seem to be covering their tracks...

How the bomb was planted under the Nord Stream

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text Long before the leak on the Russian pipeline, NATO and the United States showed suspicious activity in the area of the accident. On September 26, on the night from Sunday to Monday, a sharp drop in pressure was recorded in line A of the Nord Stream-2 pipeline — from 105 to 7 bar. In the evening, the dispatchers of the Nord Stream-1 control center noted its fall on both lines of this gas pipeline. Three gas leaks were detected – one on the SP-2 and two on both lines of the SP-1. All three occurred in the exclusive economic zone of Denmark northeast of Bornholm Island. The Swedish National Seismic Network (SNSN) recorded the first explosion at 2:03 a.m. on September 26, and the second at 19:04 on the same day. One of them had a magnitude of 2.3. Two underwater tremors were registered by the German Research Center for Geophysics in Potsdam. According to experts, "at least 100 kg of TNT was used to break the pipelines, but probably more." Experts of the operator Nord Stream 2 AG noted that the gas pipelines at the bottom of the Baltic Sea are laid in such a way that the probability of simultaneous damage to several threads, for example, as a result of a ship accident, is extremely small. Particularly strong pipes made of steel and concrete are laid in this area at a depth of 70 meters. On September 27, the Danish Armed Forces published a video from the places of the gas leak, filmed from the air. The footage shows how gas bubbles rise above the damaged areas to the sea surface. It is noted that the largest leak creates excitement on the water in a diameter of 1 km. The authorities of Denmark, Sweden and Poland believe that the explosions on the gas pipelines "SP" are the result of premeditated actions and sabotage, we are not talking about an accidental accident. An investigation has been launched. The weekly Der Spiegel reported that the CIA warned the German government in the summer about possible attacks on gas pipelines in the Baltic Sea. Who could have carried out this sabotage? There is no exact answer yet, but there is plenty of speculation. Revenge? First of all, there is a connection with the events in Ukraine. Lost profit? It is possible that by discrediting Russian offshore gas pipelines, Kiev and Warsaw could try to raise their status as land transiters controlling the Bratstvo and Yamal gas pipelines. No wonder Polish President Andrzej Duda openly called for the dismantling of Nord Stream 2 a month ago. By the way, at the same time as the emergency in the Polish city of Golenyuv, the opening ceremony of the Baltic Pipe gas pipeline, through which energy carriers will flow from Norway to Poland, Denmark and neighboring countries, took place. It is planned to import up to 10 billion cubic meters of gas from Norway to Poland annually and transport 3 billion cubic meters from Poland to Denmark. The start of pumping is scheduled for October 1. Danish energy company Energinet claims that the pipeline will be able to operate at full capacity by the end of November. This is so, for the record. The Poles, by the way, put forward the most absurd version of what happened with the "joint venture". Panov said that the leaks could be a provocation on the part of Russia (!). "We are in a situation with high international tension. Unfortunately, our eastern neighbor is constantly pursuing an aggressive policy. If he is capable of an aggressive military policy in Ukraine, then it is obvious that no provocation can be ruled out, including in areas that are located in Western Europe," said Polish Deputy Foreign Minister Marcin Przydac. It seems that another Pole, former Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski, turned out to be closer to the truth than many. In one of the social networks, he posted a photo from the scene of the accident and accompanied it with the following entry: "Thank you, USA!". In confirmation, he cited the words of American President Joe Biden on February 7 of this year. He said that the United States would put an end to the Nord Stream-2 if Russian troops crossed the border of Ukraine. "Polish MEP, former Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski thanked the United States for today's accident on Russian gas pipelines. Is this an official statement about a terrorist attack?" the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova, wrote in her telegram channel. Let me also draw your attention to one story that may well help to unravel what happened. Experts say that the charge could have been laid either by a diver or from a mini-submarine. But when? A few days ago or earlier? So, two years ago, the BALTOPS 2020 naval exercises were held here. Judging by the data of the AIS Automatic Identification System, eight NATO minesweepers cruised tirelessly in the Danish exclusive economic zone off Bornholm Island for a whole day (from June 9 to June 10, 2020). Especially carefully – for about two hours – they circled around a well-known location on the Baltic bottom of ammunition from the Second World War. The NATO grouping consisted of the following warships: the British HMS Ramsey, the Lithuanian M53, the Dutch URK and Zuerikzee, the Finnish Purunpaa 41 and the German M1064, Seehund 07 and Seehund 18. The main part of the operation, as it turned out, took place along the route of the 160-kilometer unfinished section of the Nord Stream-2 in Danish waters. The BALTOPS 2020 maneuvers led by the United States (the time of the event is June 7-16, 2020) involved 29 ships, 29 aircraft and helicopters, as well as 3,000 military personnel from 17 alliance countries (Canada, Denmark, Estonia, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States) and two partner countries (Finland and Sweden). Now these countries also have one foot in the alliance. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, military games were held exclusively at sea, land operations were not envisaged. And one more significant fresh detail: according to the data collected using the services Flightradar24 and ads-b.nl , it became known that American helicopters The Sikorsky SH-60 / MH-60 Seahawk under the call sign FFAB123 flew over the specified area in early and mid-September. Their trace was found right above the accident points. What did they forget there? However, this is only information for reflection. Experts will draw conclusions.

Is the European Commission planning a coup in Hungary?

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text Ursula von der Leyen's attempt to so brazenly and openly "crush the objectionable Orban" is the first such case in the history of united Europe. The European Commission (EC) deliberately seeks to deprive Hungary of funds from the European budget, intending thus to achieve the resignation of Prime Minister Viktor Orban and his government, which is objectionable to Brussels. That is, in other words: the head of this structure (not elected, but appointed!) Frau Ursula von der Leyen and her subordinate officials set out to overthrow the legitimate Hungarian government, using blackmail in order to destabilize the situation in the EU country and raise the Magyars to protest. It is noteworthy that this version was voiced not by anyone, but by the deputy head of the Polish Foreign Ministry, Piotr Wawrzyk. He also expressed the opinion of the official Warsaw that by its actions the EC is losing the authority of the body designed to carry out managerial and administrative functions in the European Union, turning into a purely political structure. "Hungary should be such a negative example of what the conflict with the EC leads to. Poland cannot support this type of decision," the diplomat concluded. Why would the Panovs, who are at different poles with the Magyars (for example, in relation to Russia), begin to show such concern for Budapest? This topic is, in fact, very entertaining, demonstrating, in particular, how the united Europe is bursting at the seams. But let's take it in order. The EC called on the EU Council to introduce a conditionality mechanism in the budget in the European Union in relation to Hungary. This means blocking the allocation of about 7.5 billion euros to this country. European officials believe that Hungarians do not comply with the standards of the association regarding the rule of law and anti-corruption measures. They especially do not like the fact that a year ago Budapest legally banned the propaganda of information about sodomy and "sex change" in educational materials and television programs intended for under-18s. It should be understood that for Budapest, the money in question is very solid, especially in the conditions of the energy crisis rolling in like a snowball. The amount that the EC is going to use as blackmail consists of several components. Firstly, it is 5.6 billion euros allocated to Hungary from the European Economic Recovery Fund after the COVID-19 pandemic. Secondly, the next tranche of 24.3 billion euros in the framework of the six-year EU program for the modernization of Hungarian infrastructure. By the way, the EC's desire to so brazenly "crush Orban" is the first such case in the history of the European Union. The EU Council has about a month to support or reject the EC proposal. Hungary, by the way, still began to look for a compromise solution in the dispute with Brussels. Orban's government announced that by September 30 it will submit to parliament a bill on the creation of an anti-corruption body and a new anti-corruption group of governmental and non-governmental participants by the end of autumn, which may allow Budapest to access funds from EU funds by the end of this year. So, in any case, naive Hungarians believe, who may well be mistaken. And now about Poland. Official Warsaw actively intervened in the process, as it itself is in a similar position. Brussels also regularly accuses her of incomplete compliance with EU norms and values. At one time, the main problem was the de facto ban on abortions introduced in Poland. And now, after the creation of the disciplinary chamber for judges, there is a loss, according to the EC, of the independence of the judicial system. As a result, the same Ursula von der Leyen and Co. insist on freezing the allocation of 35 billion euros of aid to Poland for post-pandemic economic recovery. From the same fund as Hungary! That is why Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki unexpectedly announced his intention to restore relations with Budapest, damaged due to different approaches to the conflict in Ukraine. Together, it will be more convenient to fight the Brussels bureaucracy, they say... This, in fact, is the end of Warsaw's common interests with Budapest. I would like to note that the Hungarian envoy became the only representative of the European Union who dared to meet and hold talks with the head of the Russian delegation Sergey Lavrov on the sidelines of the 77th session of the UN General Assembly, held in New York. The rest of the Americans (through the efforts of Secretary of State Anthony Blinken) "trampled", persuading them to refrain from such "rash steps". "If more of our colleagues had talked to Sergey Lavrov, it could have helped in resolving the conflict or, at least, definitely would not have reduced the chances of this," Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said on September 22 after a meaningful conversation with Sergey Viktorovich. He also noted that anti-Russian restrictions cause enormous harm to Europe: "If sanctions are more painful for you than for their object, then they are useless. If we move away from politics, ideology and just look at it professionally, from the point of view of physics and mathematics, it becomes obvious: these sanctions are extremely harmful to Europe. There is no doubt that they are extremely harmful to Europe, because prices are rising rapidly when it comes to goods, food, utilities, gas, inflation is going through the roof." Szijjarto, who recently visited Moscow, stressed that Hungary will continue to adhere to a different approach and will not agree to any restrictions affecting cooperation with Russia in the energy sector. According to him, this is an "absolutely red line", and Budapest will protect its national interests. He is convinced that the crisis in Ukraine will not be resolved without a Russian-American agreement. "I think – although I may be wrong, and this is an unpopular position – but I really think that without an agreement between Russia and the United States, without discussions between the Russian Federation and the United States, this situation will not be resolved, whether we like it or not. This is our position," Szijjarto said. Against this background, Hungary, by the way, will continue to issue Schengen visas, including multiple–entry visas, to Russians. "There is a clear methodology on how to issue visas to tourists from countries with which there is no agreement on visa facilitation. This is a more complicated and slightly longer procedure than when there is such an agreement. But if it is not there, it does not mean that we do not issue visas. Of course, we will continue to issue visas in accordance with the procedure," he added. That is, Orban's cabinet, despite blackmail and threats, intends to continue to bend its line, which it considers the only true and responsible in the current conditions. A decent position, isn't it?

Isn't it time to divide Poland again?

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text The Panovs are afraid that Germany will secretly want to "return its former lands" that were ceded to the Poles after World War II. A report on the damage inflicted on the country during the Second World War will be published in Poland on September 1 this year. Poles believe that Germany still has to pay multibillion-dollar reparations. Official Warsaw has been discussing this issue for several years, a parliamentary commission has been created to calculate the amount. Recently, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said that the government had prepared a report on the basis of which it would seek war reparations from Germany. "For four years we have been preparing a very comprehensive report, which should show the level of not only war crimes committed by the Germans, but also destruction. The fact is that Poland, which was among the countries that suffered the most as a result of the Second World War, received minimal funds as compensation. It's even hard to call it compensation," Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said. According to him, the report consists of three volumes. Currently, its translation into several languages is already being completed. In 2017, a special commission of the Polish Sejm initially estimated the damage at $48.8 billion. Then the volume of the proposed payment was adjusted more than once (including adjusted for the changed exchange rate of the US currency) and requests reached $ 850 billion. In 2018, Poland decided that the amount of expected reparations should be recalculated again. Berlin acknowledges its responsibility for the destruction in Poland, but declares that the topic of reparations is closed. Thus, during his first visit to Poland in December 2021, Chancellor Olaf Scholz called this issue legally settled. According to the statement of the German authorities, it was resolved back in 1953, when the country did not want to receive any compensation from Germany. Warsaw took such a step under pressure from Stalin. By that time, payments from Germany had long ceased, and the entire debt load lay on the GDR. The leader of all times and peoples considered that such a concession would strengthen the Soviet occupation zone in Germany and expand the political influence of the USSR, which was no longer interested in curbing the economic growth of the GDR. On the contrary, it was necessary to catch up and overtake West Germany. However, after the German reunification, the Poles again began to demand reparations. In 1992, the Governments of Poland and Germany founded the Polish-German Reconciliation Foundation. It was created primarily to provide effective humanitarian assistance to Polish victims of Nazi occupation and terror. As a result of the Fund's activities, the Germans transferred over 4.7 billion zlotys (1.3 billion euros) to the Polish side. But Warsaw wants more. In August 2017, as I have already noted, the issue of collecting compensation from Germany for military losses was raised again. Poles are confident that in the next few years they will be paid, since "its image is important for Germany." The Lyakhs, as is known, historically have a stable dislike for the Germans. And the feeling is mutual. Polish Prime Minister Morawiecki published a lengthy article in the German (!) newspaper Die Welt on August 17 this year, railing against the role of Germany and France in a united Europe. "On paper, all Member states are equal. But the political reality shows that the weight of the German and French votes dominates. We are dealing with a formal democracy, but de facto with an oligarchy, where power belongs to those who are the strongest. The strong make mistakes and cannot accept criticism from the outside," he wrote. In his opinion, the European elites, and first of all, the authorities of Berlin and Paris, refused to listen to Polish warnings about Russia, which sounded before February 24 (the beginning of the special operation in Ukraine. – Ed.), and added that "the well-founded concerns of less powerful member states are too often overlooked by EU institutions dominated by Franco-German politicians." The main conclusion of the article: the threat to Europe "comes not only from the East, because for many years Germany has been pursuing Russian interests in the European Union." Adam Glapinski, Chairman of the Polish National Bank, Professor of Economics, also added fuel to the fire. In an interview with Gazeta Polska, he categorically stated that Germany wants to "return the former lands within the borders of Poland." "If earlier it was about the merger of the German states or the absorption of the GDR, that is, the former Soviet occupation zone, then from the moment this task was completed, it was about the return in one form or another of their former lands that are now within the Polish borders," says Glapinsky. Let me remind you that following the results of World War II (according to the decision taken in July 1945 at the Potsdam Conference), the eastern regions of pre–war Germany were annexed to Poland, namely, part of West Prussia, part of Silesia, Eastern Pomerania and Eastern Brandenburg, the Free City of Danzig (modern Polish name Gdansk), the Prussian city of Stettin (modern Polish name Szczecin) and its surroundings. So: Glapinsky believes that a "new anschluss" can happen if the former prime minister, leader of the opposition Civic Platform party Donald Tusk comes to power in Poland. (The next parliamentary elections will be held in 2023. – Auth). He and his political association, they say, are oriented towards Germany. According to the professor, a situation may develop "like in the Soviet times" when the leaders of the Polish United Workers' Party unconditionally obeyed Moscow. Under Tusk, the authorities will treat Berlin's opinion and demands similarly. Glapinsky also fears that Berlin will want to subjugate all the countries located between Germany and Russia. The professor believes that this is how, according to the FRG, the balance in Europe of the future should look like. And the balance in the region will be based on the cooperation of the Russian and German empires with the states in the middle, which will be in the sphere of influence of both powers. Moreover, for the implementation of the "German scenario", it is important that Russia does not lose in Ukraine now, otherwise the project will lose relevance. In short, the Poles are in a panic: they feel extremely uncomfortable, they are caught between a rock and an anvil. According to the sudden commotion among the Polish political beau monde and the massive "attack on Germany on all fronts", it seems that the Poles are afraid of the Germans no less than the Russians. And they want to pre-empt a possible attack with their actual actions. They are seriously afraid that there may be a threat of another partition of Poland. And both from the east and from the west. Scared? Absolutely...

Bulgaria fears retaliation

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text The diplomatic crisis in Bulgarian-Russian relations related to the expulsion of 70 employees of the diplomatic mission of the Russian Federation has reached its apogee. How will Moscow respond? The Russian side is holding a pause and does not voice its response to the scandalous expulsion from Bulgaria at the end of June of 70 diplomats, embassy staff and their family members, of whom there were a total of about 160 people. They returned to Moscow on two planes. The usual reaction to such antics is symmetrical actions towards Bulgarian diplomats working in Russia. But in this case we are talking about the possible closure of the Russian embassy in Sofia and the actual rupture of diplomatic relations. "If this decision is not reviewed, then the Russian leadership will be faced with the question of the very preservation of our diplomatic presence and the need for a Bulgarian diplomatic presence here," said Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko. However, Bulgarian expert on international relations Dimitar Girdev naively rules out an extreme measure. He believes that, most likely, the level may be lowered: instead of an embassy, "there will be a consulate or, at worst, a representative office, like the United States in Cuba." A complete break, they say, will not happen. Even the initiator of the expulsion, ex-Prime Minister Kirill Petkov (a Harvard graduate and a former Canadian citizen) is, in fact, begging for mercy. He urged Russia to keep diplomatic channels open. His logic is striking: "We believe in the need for dialogue, for which the presence of diplomatic channels is of key importance... After the decision, 43 Russian diplomatic staff will still remain in Bulgaria (in fact, 48, but this does not matter. – Ed.) against only 12 Bulgarian in Moscow. For the sake of the past and for the sake of the future, we should be able to take steps forward on the basis of mutual respect." Meanwhile, the situation is clearly escalating. Recently it became known that Russia has suspended the validity of certificates previously issued to aircraft repair companies in Bulgaria. This is done as a response to the West's intention to repair equipment supplied to Kiev at industrial facilities certified by the Russian side. As stated by the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry Maria Zakharova, Moscow disclaims responsibility for the safety of Mi helicopters repaired at the Terem-Letets and Avionams plants. Rosoboronexport suggested that after the revocation of certification, these enterprises, which were the largest technical centers in Europe, would close or try to establish gray channels for the supply of spare parts from third countries. Let me remind you that Sofia has also promised to repair 80 Ukrainian tanks. Despite all the explosiveness of the situation, Bulgaria does not think about repentance and continues to make openly unfriendly steps: for example, it froze a tranche for the Russian Embassy for 890 thousand dollars, which were intended to pay salaries to employees of the Russian diplomatic mission. Bulgarian Minister of Finance (also already – former) Asen Vasilev said that allegedly this money falls under the sanctions of the European Commission. "Bulgaria did not take any action on this, everything happened automatically on the basis of EU sanctions. The issue of excluding these funds from the sanctions package is being resolved at the level of the European Commission. When the decision to unblock them arrives, we will take appropriate actions," Vasilev said. He also added that the Russian embassy allegedly requested a de-delegation for this tranche. This tricky word means "partial repeal of the old law." It is noteworthy that officials, and not only Bulgarian ones, regularly come up with all sorts of verbal nonsense to "catch up with the fog." So: in Brussels, they disavowed the Bulgarian initiative. They say that there were no preliminary consultations with the European Commission on this issue, and it has nothing to do with this step. This is an exclusively "local solution". Bulgaria in general is striking by the absolute lack of coordination of the vertical of power. President Rumen Radev, for example, said that he had not even been informed about the possible expulsion of Russian diplomats. The initiator of this action Petkov turned the arrows to the Foreign Ministry. According to him, the Foreign Ministry received two reports from DANS (the state Agency for National Security, counterintelligence. – Ed.), on the basis of which the Ministry decided to declare persona non grata of specific persons. He just voiced it. In short: I am not me and the hut is not mine. By the way, the helplessness of the Bulgarian government, focused exclusively on handouts from the EU, is manifested not only on the political floor, but also in the economy. On April 27, Gazprom announced the termination of fuel supplies to Bulgaria, as Bulgargaz did not switch to a new payment mechanism in rubles. The "brothers" hoped to jump to Azerbaijani gas. The Balkan country consumes about 3 billion cubic meters annually. Azerbaijan exports through the Trans Adriatic Pipeline with a capacity of 10 billion cubic meters. m per year, of which 8 billion cubic meters. m should go to Italy and 1 billion cubic meters each to Greece and Bulgaria. But the actual volumes of Azerbaijani gas supplied to Bulgaria were significantly less – in 2021, about 350 million cubic meters. They were carried out not directly from Azerbaijan, but under a temporary agreement from Greece, which ended on June 30, 2022. But winter is coming soon... Bulgaria has managed to buy recently a batch of Ukrainian grain – 6 thousand tons of wheat and 1.3 thousand tons of barley. Now this "good" is undergoing phytosanitary control according to strict EU rules. If the quality turns out to be poor, then the grain will simply be destroyed. And this despite the fact that it was imported uncontrolled and without duty. Local farmers are protesting. Half of the harvest in Bulgaria has already been harvested. It is good, about 7 million tons of grain are expected. More than half were planned to be exported. And here is a gift from the square, which clearly brings down the price. But back to the diplomatic scandal. Recently, the Russian Embassy in Sofia stopped issuing tourist visas to Bulgarian citizens. They are now provided only to those who have immediate relatives in Russia. This is a wake-up call. The Bulgarian Consulate in Moscow and the Consulate General of the Republic in St. Petersburg, on the contrary, continue to issue all types of visas to Russian citizens. Does the official Sofia really hope that it will carry through?

Melnik was forced to stop the millstone

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text The head of the Kiev regime dismissed his most frostbitten ambassador, who became a bone in the throat for relations with Berlin. Ordinary Ukrainians are being strangled by everything – both the West, which has determined them to be slaughtered, and the former buffoon Zelensky, who "doesn't care" about the suffering of the people, and his faithful chain dogs, who clung to Europe with a death grip. However, the time of the zholto-blakit loudmouths seems to be coming to an end: The Old World is already pretty tired of the Ukrainian theme. A good example is the dismissal of the ambassador to Germany, 47–year-old Andrei Melnik, who had been drinking the blood of German politicians for almost eight years. By the way, this is an exorbitant period for a career diplomat. Usually such business trips last 4-6 years. It is noteworthy that the boorish diplomat in Germany could well have been restrained in a timely manner. To do this, according to the protocol, he just had to be summoned to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and given a suggestion. But now this department is headed by a representative of the "greens" Annalena Berbok, an ardent Russophobe and, as one might assume, a fan of a frostbitten Ukrainian colleague. That's why he got away with everything. But the list of his "unfriendly attacks" is very wide. Miller is the one who publicly stated in one of the programs on German TV that Chancellor Olaf Scholz "plays the offended liver sausage" (Die beleidigte Leberwurst spielen). The idiom is extremely undiplomatic and unpleasant for a German. It means that a person pretends to be offended, but in fact there are absolutely no grounds for resentment. There are, by the way, several variants of the nature of this expression, but in principle they come down to one bike. Once a butcher cooked various meat products in a large cauldron. After they were ready, he pulled them out, but did not catch up and forgot the liver sausage there, which (out of resentment!) burst. In fact, the Miller burst. However, he began his "fighting path" with his Mother, as Angela Merkel was nicknamed at home. She got it for her "uncritical" attitude to her government's policy on the Russian track. Then President Frank-Walter Steinmeier fell under the millstone. The gopnik ambassador accused him of creating a "web of contacts with Russia" and unwillingness to abandon these "sacred" ties under any circumstances. For such "sins", reported in colors by the Miller to the chief, the excited Zelensky even dared to refuse the head of Germany, from whose hands, in fact, the regime feeds, a visit to Kiev. No need to go to a fortune teller: this respected politician clearly harbored a grudge... Melnyk called Berlin's actions to support Kiev "sluggish", and compared the pace of German arms deliveries "with the speed of a snail." He called the German experts calling on Ukraine to come to a truce with Russia as soon as possible (for the sake of ordinary citizens of this country!) "a bunch of pseudo-intellectual losers," and reproached the Germans for the lack of hospitality towards Ukrainian refugees. As it turns out, they have completely lost their temper, demanding special privileges from the Bundesbyurgers. The last "drop of poison" was Melnik's recent statements about Bandera. He believes that Bandera is not involved in the murder of hundreds of thousands of Jews and Poles. They say that this thesis, which finds support in Germany, Poland and Israel, is promoted by "insidious Russians". "I visited the grave of Stepan Bandera in Munich because he is important to many Ukrainians as the personification of the struggle for freedom, the struggle for an independent Ukrainian state in extremely difficult circumstances... The freedom fighter is not subject to any laws. Robin Hood is revered by everyone, and he also did not act according to the laws," Melnik said. His words caused a storm of indignation in Germany. Felix Klein, the German government's commissioner on the problem of anti-Semitism, noted in this regard that such statements "play into the hands of Russia," which calls the fight against neo-Nazism one of the goals of the military special operation in Ukraine. Even official Kiev disavowed the words of its ambassador, who called the glorification of Bandera a personal opinion of Miller. As a result, as mentioned above, a few days ago Zelensky by his decree dismissed the ambassador in Berlin from his post. But not for the poisonous language and disrespect for the first persons of Germany, but, as he said, as part of a "routine rotation". In fact, the reasons are different. Reports have appeared in the British and Spanish media that Germany has been blocking the EU aid package (approved, by the way, by all other leaders of the countries of this association) for nine billion euros for more than a month. And all, apparently, due to the fact that "there is no horse food", Ukrainian appetites are too exorbitant, which Melnik tirelessly broadcast from numerous Berlin media platforms "Kiev mouthpiece". Without this money, an independent kayak, there will be nothing to pay for debts. How can I not remember about the "liver sausage" and "the spider weaving its net"... And personally, Zelensky was enraged by the fact that he failed to stop the actions of Germany to return the Siemens gas turbine for Nord Stream-1 from Canada, which was suspended there for repair. Now the hated Russian gas seems to be going to Europe again with an increased flow. Melnik is expected to be shot at the post of deputy Foreign Minister at home. But will this prospect please the "big patriot" and the noble "strangler", who for all his efforts lost his salary in hard currency and a comfortable nest in Berlin. After all, he can really fly to Kiev... In this whole story with the sad end of the loudmouth who tried to take the German government by the throat, there is another, partly positive, trend. Zelensky has recently dismissed his ambassadors to Georgia, Iran, Portugal, Lebanon, Norway, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Hungary, India and Germany "within the framework of rotation". Let's take at least the last five countries. I do not know all the circumstances of the dismissal of the local ambassadors, but the reason for conspiracy is clearly visible. In the Czech Republic and Slovakia, the already weak support for Ukraine should be strengthened. Hungary needs to be brought to reason from independent steps that violate EU sanctions against Russia. Independent India in general should be lured to the side of the collective West. Well, and to rid Germany, at least, of the Miller. So still: why such a massive purge, because horses are not changed at the crossing? Is it really time for insolent people to pass and Ukraine has a need for other chief diplomats who will facilitate negotiations not about war "to the last Ukrainian", but about peace?

G20: boycott failed

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text The collective West has once again drowned in impotent anger. On the Indonesian island of Bali, where the meeting of the G20 foreign ministers took place, there was a Zugzwang (German: Zugzwang, coercion to move. – Auth.). Initially, this term was used in checkers and chess to denote a situation when any move of a player leads to a deterioration of his position. But then he moved into politics. So, the leaders of the "Big Seven" (G7), having inhaled on the eve of the Alpine air at their party in the Bavarian castle of Elmau, set an algorithm for total international counteraction to Russia on all world platforms. US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken saluted and decided to organize a conspiracy with his comrades against the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry Sergey Lavrov at the Indonesian Foreign Ministry. And in a very childish way - we go, they say, to another sandbox. And this, by the way, instead of discussing the most important international topics – energy, food and financial security on the verge of collapse, the inexorably impending recession, the Ukrainian crisis. And here, without Russia, of course, you will not get far. As a result of the "efforts" of the collective West in relation to Moscow, there was a split between the members of the "twenty": the camp of conspirators – the G7 countries plus Australia, South Korea and the EU represented by its foreign minister Josep Borrel (10 participants in total), and the camp of dissenters – the BRICS+ countries, Argentina and Saudi Arabia (also 10). Neither here nor there. The cart got stuck... Already at the very beginning of the event, on July 7, the G7 representatives did not come to the welcome dinner together, thereby demonstrating that they did not want to sit at the same table with Lavrov. By the way, the envoy of South Korea still checked in at the dinner and even talked on his own initiative with Sergey Viktorovich about something "on his feet". In the diplomatic lexicon there is such a term – "on your feet." This is when not "at the table". So - 9.5 to 10.5 in our favor! And when the meeting ended, the "others" refused to take pictures together, again because of their unwillingness to perpetuate themselves on a card with the Russian minister. The organizers had to exclude the traditional photo from the agenda altogether. However, by this time the Russian delegation had already left the forum. The excuse is weighty: there are a lot of things to do at home, they say. At the same time, representatives of the "conspirators' camp" proudly declared that "Lavrov literally flew out of the summit." The official representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Maria Zakharova, retorted that Secretary Blinken was making up tall tales, talking about the isolation of the Russian Foreign Minister in Bali. "It was you, Mr. Blinken, who drove yourself into self-isolation by manking a number of forum events, where the majority did not even remember about you. And now, in order to justify your own failure, you compose tall tales. We were told how you personally ask everyone to "isolate" Russia. And everyone you ask is laughing at your back, knowing that the current administration is doomed to an inglorious end," Zakharova wrote in her Telegram channel. In fact, Lavrov, as confirmed by Western sources, held about 10 meetings with his colleagues on the sidelines of the meeting. It is known for certain about his business contacts with the foreign Ministers of China, Turkey, India, Brazil, Argentina and Indonesia. Weighty? I would also like to note that not a single Western minister boycotted the speech of our Foreign Minister at the summit. Even the notorious Blinken was present in the hall. Lavrov, by the way, nobly refused the "mirror boycott" and also decided not to ignore the speeches of colleagues from the "conspirators' camp". "It was interesting for me to hear what the West is doing now," the minister admitted. Perhaps the only one he didn't listen to was the German Annalena Berbock. Not because he does not respect women and her in particular, but because the plane was already waiting for him "in pairs". But let's return to Lavrov's speech at the forum. In particular, he said: "Classical diplomacy is giving way to methods of blackmail and pressure on independent states." And he called for remembering the principles of solidarity laid down in the foundation of the G20, created in 2008 as a joint response to the global financial crisis. Later, at a bilateral meeting with his Brazilian counterpart Carlos Franca, our Minister stressed that he appreciates the position of most countries in Asia, Latin America, and Africa. "No matter what anyone thinks about any of us, we should not undermine multilateral formats," he said. Detail: there are really a lot of benefits from such contacts. The representative of the States, for example, "on the sidelines" of the G20, on his own initiative, held talks with Chinese Minister Wang Yi. Which is important in the context of growing tensions in bilateral relations. And the Chinese Foreign Minister – with a colleague from Australia. For the first time in three years, what can be considered a big breakthrough in relations between Beijing and Canberra. Actually, it's not a sin to remind that the G20 ministers gathered in Bali not to arrange irrelevant showdowns (we are talking about some), but to prepare for the G20 summit meeting to be held in Indonesia in November. On July 6, Moscow previously notified the organizers of President Vladimir Putin's intention to take part in the summit. However, the Foreign Ministry stipulated that the format of his participation "is subject to clarification due to the epidemic situation in the region and the situation in the world." (Diplomats know how to circumvent sharp corners!). In fact, there are several options for the presence (or still not presence) of the Kremlin leader at the upcoming November meeting. Let's analyze the most obvious ones. The first. Ignore. Personally, I exclude him. The format of the "twenty" in the current conditions is important for Russia. Second. The collective West continues to "inflate its cheeks" and, due to the possible arrival of the Russian leader, lowers the level of its representation. That is, not the first persons will sit, but G7 politicians with a lower rank. In fact, Putin should not be offended: he will have a sufficient number of worthy partners for negotiations. But the "conspirators" of the highest rank will lose the opportunity to meet face to face with the leaders of the same China, India, the leading countries of South America. That will obviously go to them "in the negative". Third. Putin may decide to participate in the event at a remote location, which he successfully practices both on the domestic political floor and at the international level. Example: a recent video conference with BRICS leaders. This option is likely, especially after demarches at the last SMID, but personal communication ("eye to eye") still preferable. Fourth. All the powerful of this world come to the "ball" (or a gala dinner). That's where it will be necessary to observe how the cards will eventually fall. Will the elderly Biden and sporty Scholz run away from Putin? In favor of this option is the fact that until November, read for five months!, "a lot of water will leak". We are talking about the same Russian special operation in Ukraine. Will the "war continue to the last Ukrainian" or will it be time to sit down at the negotiating table? In any case, the Kremlin now has a more preferable position. Putin can choose and build his approach based on Russian interests. And the collective West will be drowning in impotent anger all this time.

Americans don't want to join the army

Note: this is a machine translation from the original Russian text The US Armed Forces are experiencing the most serious personnel crisis since the complete abolition of conscription in 1973. Interest in contract service is shown by only 9% of residents of the States aged 17 to 24 years. This, based on the latest Pentagon data, was reported in an article for the conservative online magazine The Federalist by Chuck Devore, a retired lieutenant colonel and vice president for national initiatives at the Texas Public Policy Foundation. At the beginning of June, the recruitment of contract workers was only 40% of the planned. And this is less than three months before the end of the fiscal year (in the US, it ends on September 30. – Ed.), when the results of the recruitment campaign are summed up. Back in March, the Defense Department made a statement that it would reduce the active-duty personnel by 0.2% to just over 2.1 million "bayonets" (including reservists and the National Guard). The Pentagon officials confirmed that they intend to make the troops more combat-ready, but not by increasing the number, but by increasing the level of training of personnel. However, now they are sounding the alarm: each branch of the armed forces has faced difficulties in recruiting personnel who are able to control modern military equipment. The experts referred to by the author of the article believe that interest in military service has significantly decreased due to the Ukrainian crisis and the strengthening of China's military power. Young people understand that the political leadership is dragging the military into large-scale and very real armed conflicts with Moscow and Beijing. And no one wants to die. In order to eliminate the personnel shortage, the defense department took drastic steps. Firstly, now, in order to get into contract service, you do not need to have a secondary education. Indeed, why does "cannon fodder" need a certificate? Secondly, the ban on the recruitment of persons with tattoos on their arms and neck has been lifted. Previously, such people were not taken, believing that "painted" would reduce "combat capability and lead to unpleasant problems with discipline." Thirdly, they began to offer contracts for military service mainly for two years (previously - up to a maximum of six years. – Auth.). This period, according to Devore, is barely enough to learn the basics of modern warfare. And finally, the Ministry of Defense has taken up the revision of the criteria for unfitness for service: at the moment there are 250 positions of refusal in the United States for health reasons, including asthma and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. Now only 23% of US residents aged 17 to 24 are considered, according to statistics, fit without restrictions. In addition to personnel starvation, the author of the article believes, which, by the way, is entitled "Due to the corruption of the left, recruitment into the US army went into a tailspin" (the left are Democrats. – Ed.), the Pentagon has many other problems. For example, the United States is now able to launch no more than four warships a year. Previously, 13 shipyards worked for the naval forces - now there are only five of them left. In April of this year, the Navy numbered 298 warships (including the US Constitution, built back in 1797) and about 190 more support and reserve vessels. China has 350 warships and their number is growing rapidly. Another sore point on which the author has focused attention is that military supply chains are increasingly dependent on imports of key goods, including computer chips. The United States produces 10% of the world's computer chips, but 75% is in East Asia, and up to 90% of the most advanced chips are made in Taiwan. Each missile of the notorious Javelin portable anti-tank missile system launched in Ukraine by Russian troops has a command launcher with about 250 chips. Nezalezhnaya received about six thousand such systems, including launchers and missiles for them. And this is about a third of all American reserves. It turns out that the factory orders for Javelin are scheduled for two years and eight months in advance. Recently, the Pentagon has been buying 1,000 systems per year with a maximum performance of 6,480 units per year. But the ready supply of chips in enterprises rarely exceeds the amount sufficient for five days, so it will probably take a year or more to reach maximum performance – and this is assuming that the chips will still be available. That is, Taiwan will remain independent, not Chinese... Modern youth of the correct traditional orientation shuns the American army also because it is increasingly acquiring the rainbow color of the LGBT community (or LGBT+, as they write now, in order to cover the entire spectrum of this orientation, - Auth.). Seven years ago, the Pentagon officially granted permission for the first time for the brave Yankees to participate in the traditional gay march in San Diego in full parade. Then about 300 servicemen dared to take such a step. Previously, this happened only in Canada and the UK. But representatives of the American army had previously appeared at such events only in T-shirts with the names of their units. In 2011, the ban on openly gay and lesbian military service was finally lifted in the United States. Before that, the "don't ask – don't tell" rule was in effect. That is, homosexuals could serve in the ranks of the armed forces, but did not have the right to come out, that is, openly talk about their orientation. The violation was followed by dismissal. And their commanders were not allowed to ask subordinates questions about their sexual preferences. "Our troops will no longer be deprived of the talents and abilities of patriotic Americans simply because they turned out to be homosexuals or lesbians," said then–American President Barack Obama. Removing the last barriers to a military career for gays was one of the main promises that made him president. At that time, gays, lesbians and bisexuals among the military were about 66 thousand people – 2% of the army personnel. At the same time, the share of combat units of the land forces, aviation, navy and Marine Corps accounted for 13 thousand homosexuals, and 53 thousand people served in the National Guard or were listed in the reserve. It's interesting to look into history here. Since the War of Independence, non-traditional sexual orientation has been a reason in the American army for immediate dismissal without a uniform and pension. The first under such punishment was a certain Lieutenant Frederick Enslin, who was expelled in February 1778 by personal order of George Washington. But in the second half of the twentieth century, this norm was shaken. During the Vietnam War, young Americans declared themselves homosexuals in order to get out of the service. In parallel, dismissals from the army of soldiers and officers convicted of homosexuality continued. Well, how to fight here? In general, in 1993, the compromise formula "don't ask – don't tell" was adopted. However, this was not enough. And now America and the world are already being protected by hundreds of thousands of Rainbow flag fighters. So what awaits American guys in the army? "Blue coats"? Jocks with one gyrus and no secondary education? Willingness to become "cannon fodder"? All this clearly does not look attractive. Recruiters will have to work hard to get them into contract service.