Russia as a Universal Mediator

This could be its new role in the Middle East

The Geopolitics of Islam: Is the "Age of Turkey" Coming?

The dramatic events in the Middle East since October 7, 2023 - the «Flood of al-Aqsa», the war in Gaza, and the fall of the Assad regime in Syria - have led to radical changes in the geopolitical structure of the region. These developments have been the subject of enormous analysis, but one very specific area remains largely outside the scope of discussion, namely the Islamic dimension of geopolitics.

The Middle East and the “Trump Factor”

The article "After the Flood" (February 11, 2025) presented a vision of the internal dynamics in the formation of a new architecture in the Middle East - one that disregards external influence. Such influence, however, cannot be ignored

After the Flood

The flood waves of Al-Aqsa are receding, and gradually the outlines of a new regional structure are emerging. It appears as a system of triangles

A treaty with a "weak" Iran: What does it mean for Russia?

As the long-awaited «comprehensive» Russian-Iranian treaty is about to be signed, much criticism has been leveled at Russian diplomacy. Are the skeptics' concerns justified?

The Middle East - 2025: Key Risks

2024 was marked by the «Al-Aqsa Flood»: the regional situation unfolded according to the logic established by the events of October 7, 2023. It is quite possible that the current year will be marked by a «Syrian Winter», with the Middle East evolving in line with the logic set by the fall of the Assad regime on December 8, 2024.

Syria: What's Next?

The overthrow of Assad in Syria, which caused quite a stir, was not entirely unexpected. At least not for the readers of «GEOFOR»: already at the end of November, we suggested that something like this could happen. And it is not about the sudden «weakness» of the regime (after all, it lasted for 15 years under conditions of constant war, occupation of a significant part of its territory and a harsh external blockade).

Tehran-Tel Aviv axis becomes a reality

It seems that after the October exchange of strikes, Iran and Israel have recognized the limits of permissible escalation and are on the verge of agreeing on the need for peaceful coexistence. This gives hope that the current conflict in the Middle East may gradually begin to subside.

Will Syria share the fate of Gaza?

Israel's attack on Lebanon has increased the risk of war spreading throughout the Middle East.

Iran or Turkey – to whom will the Arab world turn?

The confrontation between Iran and Israel in the Middle East is undoubtedly a major factor in shaping the future of the entire region. However, it is important not to reduce the situation to just these two actors – Tehran and Tel Aviv. Equally important is the interaction between Iran and Turkey.

Israel's "Northern Arrows" Strike Lebanon

The reaction of Arab states - more lukewarm than combative: condemning escalation, calling for conflict resolution, and helping refugees

Egypt Falls into Turkish Embrace

What is driving the rapid rapprochement between these two countries, and what could it lead to?