Risk Monitor: International Agenda
We offer subscription-based updates on political and geopolitical factors that influence your decisions: ranging from alliance structures and elections to conflict dynamics and the ‘rules of the game’ in third countries.
Board of Directors / C-level Executives
To regularly align corporate strategy with foreign policy scenarios.
Strategy, Risk, and GR Teams
To connect the international agenda with plans and KPIs, and prepare management pre-decisions in advance.
Law Firm and Consulting Partners
To integrate geopolitics into memoranda, transactions, and negotiation positions (white-label).
Investment Committees and Capital Owners
To assess outcome ranges across countries/regions before commitments and set decision thresholds.
Methodology: How Does It Work?
- Focus and Interest Map: jointly define which countries, hubs, and issues are critical for you;
- Watchlist and Indicators: maintain a monitored set of political and diplomatic indicators across selected jurisdictions;
- Analytical Briefing: deliver regular concise briefs on agreed aspects, triggers, and topics;
- Signals and Flash Notes: in case of sudden developments, we provide short flash notes with implications and early indicators.
What You Get
- Board-ready brief in a structured format: key events → actors/interests → scenarios → “what to do now/threshold conditions”;
- Scenario snapshots that capture probabilities, confidence levels, and review triggers;
- Access to a searchable archive of past reports, organized by country and topic;
- Confidence that your strategy is resilient in the face of the toughest and most unpredictable scenarios.
Examples of Challenges We Address:
- Elections and power transitions: coalition formation, the “first 100 days,” and the risk of unpredictable shifts;
- Escalation/de-escalation at pressure points: where vulnerabilities emerge first in logistics and negotiations;
- Reforms of multilateral institutions (BRICS and others): implications of membership and expansion for projects and transactions;
- Technology geopolitics: how government decisions redefine access to critical ICT and energy technologies.
Elites and Power
Leadership reshuffles, coalition pacts, and shifts in budgetary priorities reveal elite dynamics.
International Relations
Bilateral signals, summit agendas, and mediation mandates highlight the direction of foreign policy.
Security and Conflicts
An increase in border incidents, mobilization measures, and changes in rules of force application reshape risks.
Society and Information Space
Stable protest windows, synchronized changes in official rhetoric, and new censorship measures point to mounting pressure.