Analytics

09.09.2026

Armenia: The Economic Limits of Foreign Policy Maneuvering

Nikol Pashinyan’s victory gave the government a workable parliamentary majority, but it did not eliminate either political polarization or the export sectors’ dependence on the …

Ivan Vasilev

07.09.2026

Russia and Vietnam: From Political Trust to the Economics of Long-Term Projects

The upcoming state visit by To Lam, General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam Central Committee and the country's president, to Russia on September …

GEOFOR

28.08.2026

External Risks Facing Businesses: From Event to Decision

In the summer of 2026, the escalation around Iran and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz illustrated a familiar problem in corporate analysis. …

GEOFOR

22.06.2026

RISK BRIEF

The AI Boom: Political Will Meets a Physical Ceiling

In the United States, the immediate constraints are the grid, interconnection timelines, generation capacity, grid and power equipment, suitable sites, permitting, copper and the cost …

GEOFOR

27.06.2025

RISK BRIEF

Lee Jae-myung begins his term with a high approval rating

South Korea’s new leader, Lee Jae-myung, began his presidency with a higher approval rating than his recent predecessors.

GEOFOR

26.06.2025

Don’t Rub Salt into the Tariff Wounds

Latin America survived the first wave of the U.S. tariff war—despite Trump

Yuriy Stroev

17.06.2025

California Uprising Shakes Trump’s Presidency

Rioters in LA were armed and ready — even stone pallets were delivered for the fight

Vladimir Mikheev

11.06.2025

Elections Without Fear, but Not Without Criticism

Mexico becomes the first country in the world to elect all judges by popular vote

Yuriy Stroev

10.06.2025

Trump and Musk Clash — Or Is It Just for Show?

The once-legendary alliance is broken, but the public feud rages on

Vladimir Mikheev

05.06.2025

There’s No Such Thing as Too Much Oil

In Essequibo, Trump acted the American way — Maduro the Venezuelan

Yuriy Stroev

02.06.2025

Bolivia: When the Left Fights, the Right Rests

Political turmoil could lead to devaluation, default, chaos, and American intervention

Yuriy Stroev

29.05.2025

What’s the Forecast in the White House Today?

Trump’s second 100 days: Turning point or total breakdown

Vladimir Mikheev