Middle East

The Middle East and the “Trump Factor”

The article "After the Flood" (February 11, 2025) presented a vision of the internal dynamics in the formation of a new architecture in the Middle East - one that disregards external influence. Such influence, however, cannot be ignored

Trump has devised a plan for the great relocation of a people

The U.S. president seems to see himself as Moses, leading the Palestinians to a new peaceful homeland - not to the Promised Land, but out of it

Serial Syria

Will Moscow be able to establish relations with the new leadership of this country, and will Russian military bases remain there?

After the Flood

The flood waves of Al-Aqsa are receding, and gradually the outlines of a new regional structure are emerging. It appears as a system of triangles

The Middle East - 2025: Key Risks

2024 was marked by the «Al-Aqsa Flood»: the regional situation unfolded according to the logic established by the events of October 7, 2023. It is quite possible that the current year will be marked by a «Syrian Winter», with the Middle East evolving in line with the logic set by the fall of the Assad regime on December 8, 2024.

Syria: What's Next?

The overthrow of Assad in Syria, which caused quite a stir, was not entirely unexpected. At least not for the readers of «GEOFOR»: already at the end of November, we suggested that something like this could happen. And it is not about the sudden «weakness» of the regime (after all, it lasted for 15 years under conditions of constant war, occupation of a significant part of its territory and a harsh external blockade).

Will Syria remain a unified country?

The fall of the Assad regime will affect the entire Middle East

The Aleppo tragedy: what it will mean for Syria

The escalation in the Syrian Arab Republic, where militants from terrorist groups have launched a major offensive, came as a surprise to the global media. But was it really unexpected?

Tehran-Tel Aviv axis becomes a reality

It seems that after the October exchange of strikes, Iran and Israel have recognized the limits of permissible escalation and are on the verge of agreeing on the need for peaceful coexistence. This gives hope that the current conflict in the Middle East may gradually begin to subside.

Will Syria share the fate of Gaza?

Israel's attack on Lebanon has increased the risk of war spreading throughout the Middle East.

Iran or Turkey – to whom will the Arab world turn?

The confrontation between Iran and Israel in the Middle East is undoubtedly a major factor in shaping the future of the entire region. However, it is important not to reduce the situation to just these two actors – Tehran and Tel Aviv. Equally important is the interaction between Iran and Turkey.

Vendetta Logic: In Anticipation of a Great War

After airstrikes in Lebanon and the elimination of Hezbollah leaders, Iran launched a large-scale attack on Israel on October 1 - its second this year. How might Israel respond to Iran's missile attack?